Commercial Insurance Buyers Say Premium Prices Still Falling

RIMS Benchmark Survey” Shows Property Premiums Drop for Second Straight Quarter, General Liability Also Drops, But Length of Soft Market Questioned

New York, April 21, 2004 Commercial insurance buyers say the costs of two major lines of insurance fell in the first quarter of 2004, demonstrating that the overall market was continuing to soften, according to the RIMS Benchmark Survey”, an industry survey of market conditions released today.

In the first quarter of 2004, premium prices for property insurance fell by about 1.5 percent. General liability insurance premium prices also fell by 1.4 percent, marking the first time in over four years that prices for two major lines of insurance retreated in the same quarter. The cost of property insurance fell 8.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2003 in the first decline in premium prices for any major line of commercial insurance since 2000

The price increases in other lines of insurance also continued to slow, as employment practices liability, crime and, most notably, directors and officers liability all experienced price increases of less than five percent. The first quarter renewal information was summarized by Advisen Ltd. for the Risk and Insurance Management Society (RIMS).

“The data we have seen over the last three quarters suggested that rate increases were slowing and now the latest numbers are clearly demonstrating the shift in the market from last year.” said Christopher Mandel, RIMS Vice President, Chief Risk Officer and Secretary. “At last year’s RIMS conference last year, we showed that that D&O Liability prices were skyrocketing at a rate close to 175 percent, but this year, the majority of the lines are experiencing increases of less than five percent; that’s a very dramatic market move.”

Advisen, a provider of specialized information, analytic and benchmarking tools for commercial insurance professionals, analyzes the survey results continuously, offering a dynamic and virtually real-time window into the current purchase patterns of commercial insurance buyers. The results represent data compiled from over 1100 organizations to date.

The first quarter renewal prices validate the market data trends over the last two quarters, which indicated that rate increases were declining, but there is some question about the length and depth of this new market. The overall commercial insurance market had been experiencing continual price increases since 2000, which was precipitated by a massive decrease in insurance surplus from 2000 to 2001. Now, as supply catches up to demand and without a catastrophic event or high profile scandal, the market has balanced out and most prices have flattened or decreased.

“The question right now is not whether the market is softening, but instead how long will it stay this way. We wonder if insurers will be able to take a protracted hit on prices in the current economic climate,” said David Bradford, chief knowledge officer at Advisen. “The renewal numbers are clear, but other indicators, like interest rate levels and stock market valuations, affect the cash position of insurers and, therefore, the prices those insurers charge their customers.

“Unless those market drivers start contributing more to cash reserves, insurers will have to rely on pricing to sustain necessary cash positions,” he continued. “We’d like to think that insurance prices are determined solely by market events, but the economic reality is other forces contribute significantly to the market dynamics, including how long this soft market will last.”

About The Benchmark Survey

Participants who contribute insurance schedule data to the survey can utilize “Chart-Your-Program” software to create charts and schedules of insurance programs and interactively compare their data with prior years’ survey data. Additionally, participants can use interactive benchmarking tools to compare costs and programs against continuously updated marketplace data. The online version of the RIMS Benchmarking Service is now available for subscription purchase.

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The Risk and Insurance Management Society, Inc. (RIMS) is a not-for-profit organization dedicated to advancing the practice of risk management, a professional discipline that protects physical, financial and human resources. Founded in 1950, RIMS represents nearly 4,000 industrial, service, nonprofit, charitable, and governmental entities. The Society serves 8,000 risk management professionals around the world.

Advisen Ltd. offers strategic information services to the global commercial insurance industry, combining comprehensive market data with proprietary analytic and benchmark modeling software. Advisen serves the world’s leading insurance companies, brokers and risk managers by providing a systematic perspective on writing, marketing and purchasing lines of commercial insurance.